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PulseReporter > Blog > Money > AI chips are the brand new ‘coin of the realm’ as they grease the wheels of geopolitical negotiations, BofA says
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AI chips are the brand new ‘coin of the realm’ as they grease the wheels of geopolitical negotiations, BofA says

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Last updated: May 17, 2025 11:06 pm
Pulse Reporter 2 months ago
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AI chips are the brand new ‘coin of the realm’ as they grease the wheels of geopolitical negotiations, BofA says
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  • Analysts at Financial institution of America are bullish on chip shares like Nvidia as mega-projects within the Center East spotlight long-term demand for AI computing. Additionally bolstering the case for the shares is the emergence of AI chips as the brand new “coin of the realm,” serving as foreign money in geopolitical talks.

AI chips, such because the graphics processing models which are important to Nvidia’s success, have change into so essential globally they’re like a type of foreign money in geopolitical talks on commerce, in accordance with analysts at Financial institution of America.

That is as latest mega-deals level to continued demand for AI computing energy. In a notice on Tuesday, BofA estimated that Nvidia’s and AMD’s AI infrastructure initiatives with Humain, a subsidiary of the Saudi Arabia Public Funding Fund, would come out to $3 billion-$5 billion yearly, or $15 billion-$20 billion over a multi-year interval. 

Humain will obtain 18,000 cutting-edge Blackwell chips from Nvidia, whereas AMD, a detailed rival of Nvidia in AI accelerators, signed a $10 billion collaboration with Humain to supply 500 megawatts of AI compute capability for its knowledge facilities.

Such “sovereign AI” offers may characterize greater than $50 billion yearly within the total $450 billion-$500 billion international AI infrastructure market alternative globally, BofA stated.

“Sovereign AI may additionally assist tackle restricted energy availability for knowledge facilities in US, plus offset headwinds from restrictions on US firms transport to China,” analysts added.

Nvidia and AMD are poised to be the largest winners from the Saudi venture, in accordance with BofA, which reiterated purchase rankings on these shares and hiked their costs targets to $160 from $150 and to $130 from $120, respectively.

Chip shares Broadcom and Marvell Know-how may even profit as will optical connectivity supplier Coherent, the notice stated, reiterating purchase rankings on these too.

“Regardless of being extra crowded we imagine these distributors are uncovered to the modest reliable/secular demand for AI deployments by well-funded: 1) hyperscale/cloud prospects (CY25 capex now monitoring +44% YoY vs. +7% YoY at similar level final yr), 2) Latest dissolution of restrictive AI diffusion guidelines, and three) Necessary position performed by AI chips as a part of geopolitical negotiations round commerce/tariffs (GPU as the brand new ‘coin of the realm’),” BofA stated.

Certainly, Nvidia is seen as a bargaining chip in U.S.-China commerce talks as each side search to decrease limitations whereas additionally sustaining their very own technological benefits.

In the meantime, Humain’s cope with Nvidia not solely represents the subsequent steps in Trump’s efforts to court docket Mideast international locations, but additionally elevates Nvidia’s position in international AI improvement. The hundreds of semiconductor chips Humain will obtain are Nvidia’s latest and strongest, launched solely in March.

Whereas U.S. AI hyperscalers like Alphabet and Amazon will stay a precedence for Nvidia, Saudi Arabia will get preferential therapy over different international locations, Wedbush managing director Dan Ives informed Fortune’s Sasha Rogelberg this previous week.

“This places them to the entrance of the road,” he stated. “It’s a red-carpet rollout. It’s a area that in the end may add a trillion {dollars} to the market alternative for AI over the subsequent decade.”

“With China nonetheless a tenuous state of affairs, I feel it’s a watershed second,” he added.

This story was initially featured on Fortune.com


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