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PulseReporter > Blog > Money > These are Morgan Stanley’s highest conviction performs for earnings season
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These are Morgan Stanley’s highest conviction performs for earnings season

Last updated: October 19, 2024 12:45 pm
9 months ago
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These are Morgan Stanley’s highest conviction performs for earnings season
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Morgan Stanley sees upside for a number of shares as their newest fiscal outcomes are introduced. Earnings season is in full swing, with about one-tenth of S & P 500 firms reporting over the previous week. About 20% of the index plans to launch outcomes subsequent week. Consensus estimates are for S & P 500 third-quarter earnings per share to be up 3% 12 months over 12 months on gross sales progress of 4% 12 months over 12 months, fairness strategist Michelle Weaver wrote in a word Wednesday, which included workforce evaluation. “If the 2Q patterns maintain, firms would want to beat on each EPS and Gross sales with a view to see constructive worth reactions; firms that missed Gross sales estimates final quarter underperformed extra notably,” she mentioned. Listed here are 5 of Morgan Stanley’s 10 highest conviction performs, which the agency sees near-term catalysts driving “a significant transfer” upward. Morgan Stanley sees a constructive arrange for Eaton and is forecasting beats on all key efficiency indicators, together with Americas natural progress and margins. “Eaton brings the strongest and broadest set of secular drivers throughout US Industrials, supporting upcycle period and positioning the enterprise for sustained [high-single digit] natural progress,” analyst Chris Snyder wrote within the agency’s word. “Our detailed natural progress construct helps regular ~8% natural progress in 2025-26, roughly ~200 bps above Consensus, which drives [mid-single digit] EPS upside and argues for a number of enlargement on sustained power,” he added. His worth goal of $370 implies 6% upside from Friday’s shut. Eaton is about to report third-quarter earnings on Oct. 29. In the meantime, four-time CNBC Disruptor 50 firm Lineage , which went public in July , ought to ship a mid-single digit same-store internet working earnings progress price on the finish of the 12 months, analyst Ron Kamden mentioned. The worldwide chief in short-term warehouse house owns the very best high quality portfolio and differentiated tech platform, he mentioned. “We see an excellent entry level: bulls have been ready for (1) a possible inflection within the USDA knowledge that may drive margin enchancment, which [we] count on in 4Q24 and 1H25; and (2) potential exterior progress to speed up,” he wrote within the word. His worth goal of $100 suggests shares may rise 29% from Friday’s shut. Lineage is predicted to launch third-quarter outcomes on Nov. 6. Lastly, sentiment is popping detrimental on Microsoft forward of its fiscal first-quarter earnings report because of fears of ramping capital expenditures, lack of visibility in artificial-intelligence income and gross margin compression, analyst Keith Weiss mentioned. “We see this making a ‘wall of fear’ in opposition to which the inventory can work, as we count on to return out of Q1 earnings with extra visibility on a path for Azure to speed up to the high-30% vary within the F2H, Copilot adoption to ramp extra meaningfully, and single-digit working expense progress to offset gross margin pressures,” he mentioned. His $506 worth goal implies 21% upside from Friday’s shut. The tech large is predicted to announce its fiscal first-quarter outcomes on Oct. 30. — CNBC’s Sarah Min contributed reporting.

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